Tag: Inderjit Singh

  • Inderjit Singh: Discouraged At First, But I Gradually Saw Them Listen

    Inderjit Singh: Discouraged At First, But I Gradually Saw Them Listen

    Inderjit Singh had been a PAP Member of Parliament for about two decades before he stepped down just before this year’s General Election. He remains a member of the PAP. He is known for openly opposing some of his party’s policies in Parliament. Post-election, he has also offered advice to the PAP on how to stay relevant. A childhood of service at the temple his family went to sparked a desire in him to serve his community as a student leader, then an MP.

    He sat down recently with 938LIVE’s Bharati Jagdish for “On the Record”, to talk about the PAP’s strengths and weaknesses, and why he eventually stepped down. The following are excerpts from the interview.

    GETTING INTO POLITICS

    Inderjit Singh: In 1994, when I started, my elder girl was 2 1/2 years old, and my younger girl was 6 months old. My son wasn’t even born. He was born in ‘98, after I entered politics. And I also started my company at the end of 1997. As an entrepreneur, it’s a big undertaking, so I was really busy, spending very little time with the family. I missed out on the growing-up years of my girls, and my boy. Although I tried my best to spend time with them. I made it a point to go for short holidays during the end of the year. In terms of their education, I could not contribute that much. My wife, fortunately, when I entered politics, she decided – she’s an engineer also by the way – to leave her job to focus on the children. I have to thank her for that because if she had not done that, I don’t know how we would have brought up our children.

    Bharati Jagdish: Do you think your family feels a sense of resentment that you weren’t there for those crucial growing up years?

    Inderjit: I have to thank them because I don’t sense that. In fact they do see the value of what I’ve done, and that I have contributed in many ways. Whether to the community, to Singapore, in the area of entrepreneurship, business … I’ve done quite a lot, and I think I’ve had significant impact, so they are proud of that, but I don’t see any resentment. But until today, my children, when they are with me, they still ask me, “Are you free tonight?” Because they know, most of the time, I’m not. So they always look forward to the days when I’m free, so that I can spend time with them. The fact that they look forward to spending time with me, that’s good, versus not being bothered at all. I think it is only right that now, before all of them really live their own lives, I spend time with them, and I think they don’t mind spending time with me.

    Bharati: Any personal regrets on your part that you couldn’t spend time with them as they were growing up?

    Inderjit: Yeah, you know, I wish I could have balanced it a bit better, but I have no real regrets, because I think I did my duty. I discharged my duty the best that I could.

    Bharati: You are best-known for speaking up in Parliament and your long FB posts on policy issues. Why are you so critical of PAP policies even though you were a PAP MP and are still a PAP member?

    Inderjit: I do have a good feel of the issues. I keep very close touch with my residents and my volunteers. I spent a lot of time to understand the issues. Many people are willing to come and share with me, no matter who they are, and I give them a listening ear. I do not try to explain things away, like some MPs do. So I saw it as a duty to speak up in Parliament to raise those issues because it’s an important platform – that’s where policies are discussed, and policies can change too – and also it’s a national platform on which I was elected to represent the people who voted for me. I found that it was my duty to speak up, even though it would have been very unpopular with the ministers and with the government, with the civil servants. But that did not hold me back because I wanted to speak the truth, and also push for changes that will improve the lives of Singaporeans. Even if it meant that I was going to put myself in a difficult situation, I did not mind doing that because I had a duty to do.

    Bharati: How difficult a situation did speaking up put you in?

    Inderjit: Well, over the years, some of the ministers did express resentment. In fact, I could see their reaction towards me – the way they deal with you, trying to brush you off, trying to ridicule what you say. In fact, I think in some of my budget speeches, I was ridiculed by some of the finance ministers also. One main thing I still remember is when I talk about growth at all cost, economic policy, I was ridiculed. They said, “there’s no such thing.’ But in the end, they admitted that I was right when they changed their tack to “inclusive growth”.

    Bharati: How did it feel to be ridiculed?

    Inderjit: Of course in the early days when I was new, it was quite discouraging that someone like me, who was sincerely trying to bring up issues, giving alternatives that are maybe even better than what the ministers may have suggested, was being ridiculed and having my argument destroyed.

    It was disappointing. But after some time, I saw that they were listening, and although they needed to destroy your argument to pass through their policies and bills, in the longer term, they actually took them into account for future improvements. It was difficult, because every time I challenged the ministers, they came back with a sledgehammer. And I know where the sledgehammer was coming from. It was coming from the civil servants, because civil servants are there to defend the policies. I knew that some of them did not like it, but it was more important for me to speak the truth, represent people’s feelings, and also more importantly, to try to effect some changes.

    And I’m very happy to say that things have changed. If people like us did not push this, we would not be seeing an inclusive growth strategy.

    Bharati: Do you think enough credit has been given to people like you though?

    Inderjit: I think that’s a weakness that our leaders need to overcome, that they seldom give credit. But I did not do this for credit. However, I think it’s useful to acknowledge, not just me, but many of the other MPs, whether they are from the PAP or Opposition, who may have had great ideas that were later on implemented. So I’ve noticed that over the years, when I speak in Parliament, many people tell me “Why waste your time?” But actually it’s not a waste of time. Ng Eng Hen, after everything else he’s said, he did say that “Whenever Inderjit made a speech, all our ministers stood up and listened.” So I want to say that they listened, both in Parliament and outside Parliament, because we have many discussions. They may argue their point, maybe quite vigorously, to try to destroy your point in the Parliamentary debate, but at the end of the day, they bring it back. Someone brings it back, and then looks at it, and sometime later, maybe a year or two, the policy changes do come.

    I remember I crossed swords with Teo Chee Hean, when he was Education Minister, on the streaming policy. I spoke up very strongly against it, and he challenged me repeatedly. A few years later, the changes came – streaming at Primary 4, a hybrid method that I had suggested. Similarly, in many of the policies, many of the arguments, economic policies, many of these things that I argued about, I saw changes some years later. So it was worth the battle.

    Bharati: Why do you think they were so reluctant to give credit?

    Inderjit: I think it’s difficult for anyone who is in charge to give up credit for any improvements. That’s natural for any human being. I think my reason for why it would have been useful for the government and ministers to give credit to some of the MPs – not just me – but many other MPs over the years, particularly the PAP MPs who had many good suggestions over many years, is that giving credit to them would have shown that many of the improvements in government and policies were the result of PAP MPs suggesting it, and not because of opposition suggested, or put pressure on the government to change. I think over time it’s good for the public to know where the beginning of the change came from, and on the balance, I think people will see that many PAP MPs have disagreed with policies and also suggested improvements that later on became part of new policies.

    Bharati: A lot has been said since the election about the PAP needing to be more humble and the Prime Minister himself has said it. So how confident are you that the stance they took towards people like you in Parliament will change?

    Inderjit: I remember none other than Lee Kuan Yew once telling us that “you should speak your mind, and it’s the minister’s job to defend the policy and to explain things. We should not hold back.”

    I’ve held on to that principle of not holding back and speaking my mind. Some of the ministers actually are willing to listen and not ridicule, but some of them still do. I think it is a message for them to be more humble, be willing to listen. I think if it’s a reasonable, constructive thing, even if it may not agree with your view, you must give due credit and some ministers do say that “If not now, then let us think about it.” I think that is a better approach than to use a sledgehammer. Having said that, not every minister is like that. Some are willing to listen, and don’t use the sledgehammer, but some do.

    Bharati: Why did you join the PAP considering many of your views run contrary to theirs?

    Inderjit: Many may not know that I have always had my strong views, and I do not hold back. Even before I entered politics. I remember one of the dialogue sessions when I was a party activist for a young PAP chairman at that time. There was a dialogue section with our current Prime Minister when he was just new to politics. I spoke and said that “Why would anyone join the PAP as an MP when he can’t vote with his conscience sometimes, when the party whip is not lifted, and I don’t agree with this”.

    I was quite aggressive in my closed-door discussion with him. When I went for my first tea party, I criticised some of the policies. You would think that they wouldn’t want a person like that to join them, but they wanted.

    Bharati: Sure, but my question is why did you want to join them, considering that you disagreed with them on so many things. Why not join an opposition party? Form one of your own? Why do you stay a PAP member?

    Inderjit: If I look at the whole environment here – all the parties – the principles and the values of the PAP are not wrong. In fact, they are the best party I would say. I meet very good people, very good leaders also, so if you want to serve in politics, you want to join the best. So I think of all the parties, PAP is still the best. For many years, I’ve also had many occasions when my views, which may not be the same as the views of the government or some of the ministers, are taken seriously.

    I had an occasion when Heng Swee Keat was a permanent secretary in MTI, heard my speeches in Parliament, called me up and said immediately, “I’m working on one policy and I want your views on that policy.” And he came over to see my office to meet me, and I discussed with him. There was another occasion, Richard Hu, as the Finance Minister, called me and said “You’ve got so many ideas, my ministry officers don’t have the same ideas, can you come and talk about some of your ideas with our ministry’s officials.” So he gathered all of his key people, and I spent a few hours discussing my ideas with them. To me, they may not have the same views as me, but my job was to internally make the changes to make them see my point of view and see the alternatives that could be good alternatives.

    ON DIVERSITY WITHIN THE PAP

    Bharati: So in your view, the PAP is a party capable of tolerating dissent? Most people think it isn’t.

    Inderjit: Well, I stayed for 21 years. I’m still a party member. I’ve not seen them not tolerating me, so I think they are capable of tolerating dissent, not just this leadership but also in the past. Over the years, I have had no problems making my point in Parliament and speaking my mind. I would say that they are willing to embrace diversity, although it’ll be better if they’re willing to do more of it, get a more diverse group of people in the key leadership positions. I think that will do them good.

    Bharati: Some might say that the fact that you were never in a Cabinet post implies that they are uncomfortable with diverse views. They might have accepted you as a PAP member and MP, merely tolerated you, but they didn’t promote you even though you had made good policy suggestions.

    Inderjit: Well, I never showed interest. I think I was perfectly happy with the balance that I had, being involved in my own businesses. Whether a rejection of my disagreement on some policies was the reason that they did not choose me is not important, because I did not aim for it. I did want to have some influence in the way policies are shaped in some areas, and for that, I did debate very vigorously in Parliament and gave many suggestions for improvement. Of course it’s up to the Prime Minister to choose a team he wants in the Cabinet and how he wants to deal with them. If he tolerated me in Parliament, then he could have tolerated me in Cabinet if let’s say he’d offered. I think it was really a question of who he had to put in Cabinet and who was willing to do it. I know I never aimed for it.

    Bharati: The Cabinet has been unveiled, and many people have noticed that the ones who have been appointed key Cabinet posts are really more of the same in terms of their backgrounds. What do you think?

    Inderjit: I think this is one of our problems when we talk about diversity, it would have been better to have a mix of people holding Cabinet positions. The way the system works is like this: there is a civil service that formulates, that will help to put up most of the policy changes and ideas and so on. And they develop the initial policy papers.

    The greatest debate and where change really happens is in Cabinet. And then in Parliament, we get the finished product, where we debate, give our views and then changes come a few years later if they willing to listen to us. So the real place where this debate takes place is in the Cabinet.

    Now, if you have everyone on the same ‘mode’ in Cabinet, then I personally believe that the quality of the debate will not be good enough. I think it’s not a bad idea to have about 20 to 30 percent of people who are not from the same group in Parliament.

    So I made this point after the 2011 election results to the Prime Minister. I wrote to him a note, and I had suggested that, he should seriously consider putting people of different backgrounds, not the same, and also people from the private sector. Some of them may be the grassroots type of MPs who could represent people’s view in Cabinet. That actually would then, would have given us a very high quality debate in the Cabinet and the result would have been better policies.

    Bharati: You’ve also said that diversity can be better reflected if the party Whip is lifted more often. Why do you think the government seems unwilling to do these things?

    Inderjit: I think like in any organisation, you want to have people in your team, in your management, that you can work with, that can work with you, that understands your system. I think that has been our biggest issue. Efficiency and speed has been more important than having a bit of messiness and diversity in views, and loss of efficiency in policy making. We move very fast on many things.

    An example is the Population White Paper. Very few MPs were consulted on that before it came out. I think it would have been very useful for us to at least involve the MPs in a thorough discussion, and maybe a wider public participation before it came out into Parliament. And the reason was efficiency. They wanted to move fast. I think we must be willing to give up a bit of efficiency and accept a bit of messiness so that we can take in diverse views and debate things more, with more people.

    ON DIVERSITY IN GOVERNMENT

    Bharati: What about diversity within the civil service, not just in Cabinet. Considering that the government has been pushing ASPIRE, recognising people based on their performance and capabilities rather than just their academic qualifications, do you think people are still often offered positions in the civil service based chiefly on their academic prowess?

    Inderjit: I think that has not changed. If you look at the admin service officers, they are still the scholars who are selected based, I would say, purely on academic results. If you don’t have that, you’re not even considered. So it’s still the same. I think, depending on the need for the job, you should look for qualifications that are alternatives to academic. In some areas, you may need real people who are academically strong. In other areas, you may not necessarily need those people, so I think, not to swing all to the other way, but I think you need to identify the type of jobs.

    Bharati: In your interactions with those in the civil service, have you found that a lot of them still don’t understand the issues on the ground? That they are still not exercising political judgement in formulating policies?

    Inderjit: They’re good in their own right. The scholars are smart. They’re capable of analysing well and formulating policies and so on, but it all has to start with understanding the real issues on the ground. I think if you look at what had happened in the run up to 2011, and then even up to the Population White Paper in 2013, the 10 years before that, there was an error of policies because they did not understand the issues on the ground. For example, housing. We were told all along it’s affordable, and it’s more than enough. Actually there was shortage of housing that needed Khaw Boon Wan, when he came in after 2011, to fix.

    Similarly, population growth. That was terribly uncoordinated, resulted in a huge infrastructure shortage, whether it was transport, lack of hospital beds, even a lack of doctors. These obviously were policies that were formulated in silos and based on what they felt was right, but not actually what was happening on the ground.

    In 2011, during our party conference, I was asked to speak, and I basically made this point that we need to inject more political judgement in policy making. My point was that ministers are the ones who will have to play that role. They cannot just take what civil servants suggest to them as final. They have to challenge the civil servants a lot more because ministers are also MPs, so they will have the feel of the ground.

    ON THE OPPOSITION

    Bharati: We’ve talked a lot about diversity within the Cabinet and the civil service, but what about diversity in terms of a larger and more robust opposition presence in Parliament? Obviously there is a school of thought that having a dominant party, even if that party is very capable, is unhealthy for a democracy. Democracy needs, necessarily needs, dissenting voices within Parliament in the form of a strong, capable opposition. How do you feel about that?

    Inderjit: I think it’s not a bad idea to have some of opposition who are constructive and able to provide alternative views. I think if they have good people, then some of them could be the opposition and that could improve the quality of debate and even the quality of policies in the longer term. But having opposition for the sake of opposition is also not the right thing, and especially if the PAP – the dominant party – is able to change within, and to have challenges within the party to do the right things. This has been the case in most of the fifty years we have been independent. In most cases, the PAP has been able to change within. Realise, listen, and change. Therefore, there may not be a need for huge opposition to stifle the government.

    The day the PAP starts becoming inefficient and starts doing the wrong things, I think is the day you will need a change, but that has not happened. We have had PAP admit some policy mistakes, some miscalculations resulting in the problems of infrastructure and so on in the past, but they also have made amends. But if the PAP keeps on making mistakes, then I think yes, more opposition. But if not, then why?

    Bharati: However, during the election period, some had said that they felt the PAP only became responsive after the 2011 election and it was the larger opposition presence that made them more responsive and of course your party has denied this, saying that some of the changes had been in motion before 2011 and that the WP made no meaningful contribution to policies. You’ve said you agree with this, but you’ve also implied that the party has to remain humble and continue being responsive with or without an opposition in order to stay in power. Which aspects of the PAP leadership style would you say worked in the past, but are not going to work in the next few years?

    Inderjit: I would summarise it as a “we know best” approach. It’s “we know best” and the civil servants and driving it. I think this is an aspect that must change, and I think that PM did mention that he wants more participation, more conversation to go on and hopefully all of that becomes input to better policies. Rather than in the past, all I needed to do was to have a dialogue section, to explain to you the policies. I think now we should go into, “I need your views to formulate better policies”.

    Bharati: You say that a stronger opposition is only needed if the PAP keeps on making mistakes. The concern is that by the time the PAP gets to that stage – I’m not saying it definitely will, but let’s say it does – there may not be a capable opposition in existence in order to take over. There are perceptions that the playing field is not level in politics and more should be done to ensure a level playing field so that a capable opposition can develop.

    Inderjit: In this election, we saw all seats contested. Every party had a chance. Even if we redraw the boundaries regularly, I think if the opposition, throughout five years, have been doing their job working the ground and speaking about alternatives that they think are better, getting noticed, it will help them when the elections come. Of course, every ruling party will try to do things that will be in its favour. Everyone does that in every country, but I think the situation is not that bad. The opposition actually can get themselves noticed, even before the elections.

    Especially with social media these days, it’s easily happening. Many of them are putting up their views, giving alternative ideas and so on, and I think they just need to look serious, come up with serious ideas, really good alternatives that even the PAP could not think of, and I think they will get rewarded for it at the elections. I’ve learnt one thing in life, that when you are the underdog, you have to work doubly hard to make things work. So, instead of complaining, I think the opposition candidates should be working around these things and show themselves anyway. And if you work doubly hard, you look doubly good.

    Bharati: Would it be in the interest of Singapore to have a PAP that is not so strong, so that alternative policies can be given a better airing?

    Inderjit: I think, we are a small nation and I think it’s not unrealistic to feel that we are vulnerable. We are small and if let’s say we really get into trouble, we may not come back again.

    Bharati: Some have said that kind of thinking smacks of paranoia.

    Inderjit: I think we have to be paranoid about this. Only the paranoid survive. If the government becomes too weak, it could mean the future of the nation at stake.

    Bharati: Not the government, but the PAP in particular, so that some political creativity and diversity can emerge in parliament and the possibility of someone else forming the government.

    Inderjit: I want to say this. When Singapore was in trouble many years ago, there was a group of young men and women who came forward and formed the PAP. Because they did not agree with the government of that time.

    And they were serious men and women who formed the PAP and then later on formed the government. So similarly, I’m quite confident that Singaporeans are very capable people. If the PAP is weak and is not capable of delivering, I’m quite sure that there will be a good group of people who will be willing and who are able to come forward to provide that alternative. We are not at that place yet, where the PAP is so weak that alternatives need to come out. I don’t think any of the current opposition has got that kind of composition that could be the alternative, but I’m quite confident that there will be enough people who will either join the PAP to strengthen it, or will come forward with an alternative that will strengthen the opposition.

    Bharati: If you were in the opposition, what would you do to make meaningful headway?

    Inderjit: I think check and balance alone is not enough. You have to be able to provide good alternatives, serious views that are actually well thought through that can be successful if implemented as a policy. I’m not saying that the Workers’ Party ideas were bad. They were not bad ideas, but I think not thought through deep enough. They did a good job in explaining what they wanted, but I think if you go deeper, and think yourself if let’s say I’m the government and I have to implement this, will it work for the nation? I think if they think about it, they will realise that not everything is possible.

    MANAGING DIVERSITY

    Bharati: You said in a previous interview that some elements of a liberal democracy that the opposition parties were espousing did not go down well with some Singaporeans you spoke to.

    Inderjit: I’ve seen, particularly during these elections, Singaporeans looking at broader issues, particularly the liberal Western approach to democracy and they start to think twice, you know, “This is not how we want things to be done here in Singapore.” Some do. They want to have more freedom of speech, more freedom of the press, and many of those things, but at the same time they want to avoid many of the other things that they feel are not desirable for society. Particularly the religious organisations, and they are big groups. I think they are not ready for liberal policies in Singapore yet.

    Bharati: What specifically do they take objection to, based on your interactions with them?

    Inderjit: I think one of the things that has come out strongly is the LGBT issue, which I think many people have an issue with especially religious organisations. I saw that in play during this election as I went around, so I think this is an example and there will be others.

    Bharati: What is your personal stance on this?

    Inderjit: I see myself as a more conservative person. A gradual release and opening up is what I prefer as compared to a rapid change which will make a lot of people uncomfortable.

    Bharati: On subjects of that nature – not just LGBT issues, to what extent do you think perhaps the government should be the one to set the tone for an acceptance of people who are different, who are in the minority in Singapore, but are Singaporeans nevertheless, instead of waiting for society to be “ready” so to speak, for a more inclusive society?

    Inderjit: I think this is a fine balance that we have to find. The government can take the lead on many of the issues. I think over time they have been doing that, so we talk about housing for single mothers, parents. I think we have relaxed this somewhat with the recent allocation of rental flats and 2-room purchase flats for them. There is some amount of relaxation already, and so this means they are listening and are willing to take the lead, although generally, society at large may not accept some of these things. I think it’s a question of judgement right now – at what pace the government is willing to take the lead and change before society is ready.

    Bharati: Let’s talk about the Population White Paper. You walked out of Parliament when the vote for this was taken, because you disagreed with it and the party Whip was not lifted during the vote. You opposed it in many ways saying that PR and citizenship are granted too easily. You opposed the influx of immigrants at the pace of the past. The immigration policy has been tightened since then, so has the granting of PR status. But the issue of National Service for the children of PRs still comes up, they still have the option of renouncing their PR status to avoid NS. You mentioned this in 2013. How do you feel about this now?

    Inderjit: I think they should go to jail! Just like if my son skips NS, he’s going to go to jail. So for the PRs, whose children do not do NS, if they grew up here and benefited from Singapore’s system, they should be similarly treated.

    Bharati: You’ve said that you’ll continue making your views known through other channels such as the media, but what do you miss about being an MP?

    Inderjit: I spent a lot of time in my constituency, and I developed a very strong relationship with my grassroots leaders, with my branch activists, and also my residents. That’s kind of a family too that I’m leaving behind, so I miss that most, especially all the volunteers who have helped me. They were really a good group of people who supported me throughout my 21 years, and I miss them. These volunteers spend their time serving the community and helping me. I miss them the most.

     

    Source: www.channelnewsasia.com

  • Inderjit Singh: My Thoughts On GE2015

    Inderjit Singh: My Thoughts On GE2015

    Many have reflected in the GE2015 outcome, I am sharing my views here,

    GE 2015 Analysis

    Introduction

    The GE2015 results are finally out. Were the results expected? Should we be surprised with the outcome? Given that GE2015 was called at a time when the ground could not have been any “sweeter”, are the results a good reflection of the PAP’s real support from voters? Ordinarily, given the timing and the fact that the previous government did many things to ensure the ground was as “sweet” as it can get, we should have expected that the PAP should have done significantly better than GE2011 with GE2015 perhaps delivering a score of around 64% to 65% of overall national vote, with the same number of 6 seats lost as in 2011. But the PAP did much better than what was expected by the party leaders and any of us, swinging the votes by 10% compared to GE2011.

    I have been involved in politics since 1984, starting off by helping the new candidate at Siglap at that time, and thereafter contesting in 4 elections as a candidate myself. Through these years, I have managed to gather, to a certain extent, a good feel of the ground. For instance, at GE2011, I predicted accurately that the PAP will not gain more than 60% of the vote share and may lose up to 6 seats, which was the exact outcome.

    This time round though, the ground had become a lot more difficult to read. I was surprised to see that Singaporeans are divided on their support for the PAP, at every strata of society. Be they Singaporeans living in the 1-room rental flat, middle-aged and middle-income residents living in the heartlands or the private estates, or professionals and the intellectuals.
    I found 2 distinct groups at each strata of society – one group that felt that the PAP did many things to respond and address the problems, created in the past 10 years, thru many policy initiatives and schemes to a cross-section of Singaporeans. But there was another group that felt that the PAP had not done enough as some of their confidence in the PAP’s ability to meet their aspirations declining.

    While the PAP government has made quite a lot of policy changes since GE2011, the question that some had is whether these were done sincerely to address the plights of Singaporeans or done for political mileage alone. If done sincerely, this will in any case produce political mileage, but if it was done to win votes, this may not have been enough for the PAP to win back the eroded confidence among voters.

    From the onset, the WP went on the offensive to persuade voters that the PAP changed because of the political pressure from the last GE and because having them as opposition in parliament made a difference. The PAP had invested a lot more time and effort in the last 2 years to show that they really cared and did things sincerely. The PAP government showed that they had addressed all the “bug bear” issues that had upset Singaporeans that had caused a terrible outcome for the PAP in GE2011.

    What was going against the PAP was that the Population White paper debated in parliament in February 2013 seemed to indicate that the PAP did not listen and learn from the GE2011 and pressed on, even if this may not be so. Many felt that the subsequent changes in policies that came fast and furious after the public outcry were a knee jerk reaction to political pressure.

    My prediction made before nomination day

    I will be frank that before nomination day, based on the mixed feelings and sentiments I was getting from the ground, I did not expect the PAP to do any better than in GE2011, scoring at best 60% of the popular vote and to lose the same seats they had lost in GE2011 with perhaps having a 50-50 chance of winning Fengshan.

    Prediction made on Cooling off day

    As in GE2011, the 9 days of campaigning made a difference and shifted the swing voters. A “gentlemanly” campaign would have been much more effective than trying to discredit individuals and I am sure that’s how the party leaders set it out to be. But initially they got distracted by the opposition strategies. Simply put, the PAP spent too much time in the first half of the campaign focusing on the WP AHPETC issues as well as trying to discredit some of the opposition manifestos and plans instead of having a systematic campaign to elaborate on its own manifesto and plans for the coming years. The PAP had not only fixed some things in the last four years, it also has some great plans and vision and it would have been useful to go into greater details and to explain the plans in a way that would resonate with the hearts of the voters. The PAP should have planned this even before the 9-day campaign started with its leaders sticking to this strategy and perhaps leaving a small group within the party to attack opposition arguments.

    Voters would have liked a more calculated, calm and gentlemanly approach from the PAP and even if the opposition got aggressive, the PAP would have done better by taking the higher moral ground. Unfortunately, some leaders also went on an offensive but some of the opposition reacted more calmly than the PAP did. The PAP lost some ground because of this.

    Instead, some of the opposition focused on their plans more than attacking the PAP. In my opinion, many of their plans, while looking good on the surface, had serious flaws that will not be good for Singapore in the long-run, while they even failed to elaborate how they were going to finance some of these populist plans. But they managed to speak to the hearts of voters, which matters most in an election. In an election, quite often it is not what you say but how you say it and that is the PAP’s perennial problem. As bureaucrats and technocrats, they make good policies and have Singaporeans well-being at heart, but just lack that political acumen to convey these messages effectively to the people.

    What became obvious during the 9 days of campaigning is that voters will reward incumbent MPs and new candidates who have invested significant time walking the ground, interacting with residents over the past 5 years and those who have built a bond with residents. In areas where candidates had built the relationship with voters over a long period of time, the support would come naturally. So we could tell that the 9 days of campaigning was not so effective for candidates who did not invest time on the ground and this was reflected in the final vote. This showed very clearly for the opposition candidates to and for the PAP, the strategy to send candidates to the ground very early (instead of last minute “parachuting” like the past) worked well too.
    So after campaigning ended, I reassessed the ground sentiments and noted a slight improvement for the PAP and expect the PAP to gain another 2% votes for the following reasons.

    In my view, one of the reasons for this was that PM’s personal popularity increased by 1% to 2%, especially after his lunch-time rally speech at Raffles Place. The same goes for DPM Tharman whose speech at Bukit Panjang reinforced among voters that he is one of the top Finance Ministers in the world. Also, many of the other opposition parties, other than the WP and SDP, were not supported well by voters. So I expected to see a big difference in votes between what WP and SDP would win versus the rest of the parties. Singaporeans have become very discerning and will not vote blindly for any party or any candidate and I expected to see a big difference in votes going to the other parties, other than WP and SDP.

    However, based on the ground feel after 9 days of campaigning, I felt that although the PAP’s overall score may have improved slightly, in constituencies where they were going against the popular opposition parties, particularly WP and SDP, there was enough shift for the PAP to lose more constituencies and I expected the PAP to lost between 13 to 15 seats. My overall assessment was still a 60%, +/- 2% outcome for the overall vote for the PAP.

    What Went Right for the PAP

    In my opinion even getting a 2% increase over GE2011, while good for the PAP, is also something the PAP would have had to worry about because this GE2015 was done at a time when the ground was as sweet as it could be for the PAP for the following reasons:

    1. SG50 and the country celebrated in a very good mood and the government gave away good things to all Singaporeans

    2. Mr. Lee Kuan Yew’s passing was sad, but did rally Singaporeans together and many would have reinforced their support for the PAP and realized the vulnerability we faced and continue to face as an unlikely nation

    3. PGP of $8b would have won over most pioneer citizens above the age of 65. The PAP should have gotten a votes boost from this group

    4. The government started its term after the 2011 election by making many changes, starting with the reduction of ministerial salaries and shifted its policies to be more inclusive and also addressed all the issues that Singaporeans were upset with before GE2011;

    a. Housing availability and cost (has improved tremendously but there is still room for improvement)

    b. Transport infrastructure (which people can see the efforts made but the true impact of these efforts will only be felt around 2020)

    c. Building more hospitals (full effect yet to be felt)

    d. Tightened the intake of foreigners (which had a double edged effect – making SMEs upset that they cannot get enough workers while trying to please Singaporeans). But the effect of this was also not fully felt as many foreigners are still here and people are more upset with the increase of PRs and citizens more than the lower level foreign workers. Also, PMETs continue to worry about their jobs

    e. Medishield life to take away worries of medical bills in the future.n

    5. The government changed its position from a “growth at all cost” economic policy to an “inclusive growth” economic policy, therefore shifting more to the left to implement many schemes to rebalance income equality

    6. There was also the instability factor in the region and the global economy which may have made some voters more still wanting a more stable political environment in Singapore. This is especially with the governance and racial politics issues just across the Causeway.
    All these 6 factors were unique and many will be onetime factors that may not appear again at GE2020.

    So if we look at the overall result, we must note the following;

    1. Points 1, 2, 3 and 6 were unique and perhaps a once in 50 years phenomenon and will not appear again in GE2020 but I believe these gave the PAP a positive swing of around 2% to 3%.

    2. The PAP government did well as points 4 and 5 suggest and Singaporeans gave the PAP the benefit of doubt and were willing to trust the PAP more than they did in GE2011. PM’s personal popularity and his excellent speeches at the National Day rally and during the campaign rally, as well as DPM Tharman’s likeability helped too. This would have given the PAP another 1% to 2% gain of votes.

    3. About 2% to 3% swing towards the PAP was, thanks to the composition of the opposition in all areas where the WP and the SDP did not stand for elections. So while WP and SDP areas saw a 5% to 6% swing for the PAP which can be attributed to the above 2 points, the other parties scored terribly, much worse than GE2011, when at that time Singaporeans were giving their PAP protest votes to any opposition party that stood against the PAP. The electorate will no longer blindly vote for opposition candidates especially those from opposition parties that don’t have enough creditability and that cannot display an ability to become a constructive opposition or even able to form government one day.

    4. As the campaign came to the end by cooling off day, pundits had predicted big losses for the PAP. One such forecast (someone told me this was a bookie bet) I got on the morning of polling day showed PAP losing 24 seats to the opposition. This, coupled with the huge turnouts at the opposition rallies, gave Singaporeans “cold feet” that we may see a “freak” result when votes are counted. I live in Marine Parade GRC and my neighbour came running to my house on the last day of campaigning to share that she “heard” that PAP will likely lose Marine Parade to the WP. They were worried and said they will call all their friends and relatives to be careful with their vote.

    I believe this resulted in another 1% to 2% swing back to the PAP at the national level as voters, despite seeking diversity of voices in parliament, still wanted a strong PAP government and did not want to disrupt leadership transition plans for the government. If true it reflects the maturity of Singapore voters.

    5. It is anyone’s guess what caused such a huge national swing but we must give the PAP leadership credit for selecting the timing of the election when the ground was as “sweet” as it could be, which I think helped PAP with about 4% to 5% – credit to the PAP. (There are some who attribute a significant part of the swing to new Singaporeans, but this is debatable and probably was not significant enough to account for the 105 swing)

    Underlying Issues the PAP should not ignore

    The worry among some Singaporeans is that with a stronger than expected mandate, the PAP my feel there is no need to change itself. But the general feeling among insiders and observers is that the PAP needs to continue to change to become more inclusive, listen more to people, add more political judgement in policy making (a point I raised many times before that we must be prepared to give up some efficiency in policy formulation by making the process more bottoms up instead of the old way of being top driven and also letting the civil service drive changes and not the political leaders). The PAP must continue to have more conversations to understand the problems and aspirations of Singaporeans of all backgrounds.

    While GE2015 delivered an outstanding result for the PAP, it was a national swing that may never be repeated for the reasons I mentioned above. The PAP needs to realize that these are fundamental issues that they cannot ignore. Here are some of the issues which I hope the PAP will not lose sight of.

    1. Trust of the PAP today vs that with the pioneer generations – in the past people developed the social compact with the PAP and fully trusted the PAP to improve their lives and even though they have been unhappy with some policies, they trusted the PAP to make life better for them. It was almost a ‘blind trust’ of the people but today Singaporeans are not willing to blindly trust the PAP based on what happened over recent years up to the point the Population White Paper was debated in parliament in 2013. In GE2015, Singaporeans signalled to the PAP that they are giving the PAP another chance based on the changes the PAP government has made, key ones being a shift towards the left, focusing on an inclusive growth strategy (versus a ‘growth at all cost’ economic policy). The PAP should strengthen and deepen this trust the people have given to them by listening more and putting in place the right policies. If the PAP can do so, then I am sure Singaporeans will develop a stronger bond with the PAP and will be willing to accept even unpopular policies for the good of Singapore as a whole, as was the case with the first generation PAP leaders.

    2. Middle aged Singaporeans were the main swing voters in GE2015. They were angry with the PAP because of cost of living issues. Wages went up but cost of living went up faster and they could not keep up with the pace. They worry about their children’s future. While the PAP kept assuring life will be good for future generations, people could not see clearly how – we communicated the vision for Singapore, which is a very good vision with a good plan, but many could not see how this will actually address their fears of cost of living, cost of housing and secure well-paying jobs for their children. We all know the PAP is capable of delivering but people could not see and did not fully believe based on what they had experienced. The PAP must focus more on the middle aged and I dare say middle income Singaporeans who will continue to be the swing voters again in GE2020. The cost of living issues must be addressed effectively over the next 5 years to win more of this group of voters over.

    3. Arrogance vs humility – leaders must take this victory in humility. Singaporeans expect greater humility and personal touch from their leaders and this will be even more in the coming years as the electorate matures and get more educated and informed. The government’s past “We know best” attitude will not work among Singaporeans in the future. Elitism is also something the PAP government should be concerned about especially since the party continues to choose the elites to become key appointment holders. I don’t think Singaporeans will want to see a “natural aristocracy” develop. Leaders must come from a diverse background and servant leadership is what will work for the future. (On arrogance, I believe the WP leaders’ arrogance also contributed to their decline this time as clearly seen by the erosion of votes the WP got in Aljunied, against a relatively new team from the PAP).

    4. Connecting with the ground – speaking to the heart. PM Lee and DPM Tharman contributed greatly this time but I don’t think many others of the senior PAP leaders could connect well with voters. In fact a number of the younger opposition candidates did very well in connecting with voters, particularly the younger voters. It was a pity that not many of the PAP new candidates, especially those slated to take on ministerial positions stood out during GE2015. It was an opportunity for some of them to show their mantle to get the support of Singaporeans. They will now have to catch up quickly to show their strengths and capabilities as they take on political office.

    5. The PAP had great plans and what was needed was communicating these plans clearly to inspire the voters. The leaders must be able to resonate with the voters to build a better and longer lasting relationship of trust and when trust strengthens, the leaders will be able to convince Singaporeans when they have to push through some tough policies that are for the longer term good of the nation. Prime Minister did well and has got his politics right this time. So did DPM Tharman. Now the rest of the PAP leaders need to get their politics right too.

    6. The minorities’ needs have to be better understood. Indians are generally upset that their concerns are not well addressed and also are impacted by the immigration policy. Integration between Singapore born Indians and new immigrants has not taken place successfully. Cultures also don’t quite match. This is an urgent issue that needs to be better addressed. Going into the GE2015, the Malays’ support was also eroded somewhat although not significantly, and issues like the tudung matter and the CPF money being made available for them to travel on Haj remained as sore points. The PAP’s strength in the past had always been a good understanding of the minorities and this must be rebuilt again for greater trust and confidence.

    7. Involving more Singaporeans – In a letter to all Singaporeans after the results were announced (I’ve saved a seat for you), the Prime Minister called on more Singaporeans to be involved in shaping the future for Singapore. The government must convert this to action by being more and more consultative. The stakes are now very high as the Prime Minister has raised everyone’s expectation through this letter. The PAP must deliver to make this a reality – getting many more Singaporeans, civil society groups, etc., involved in crafting policies.

    Conclusion

    Singaporeans have spoken and they have given a strong mandate to the PAP. The PAP has 5 years to consolidate its position and should use this opportunity to strengthen the bond with Singaporeans so that the PAP can get greater trust and confidence of the people. After the lesson learnt in GE2011 and also the reaction to the Population White Paper in 2013, the PAP leadership has been handed a 2nd chance to change it approach to build greater trust from Singaporeans. Failure to change and sticking to the old ways will be disastrous and the PAP should not betray the trust Singaporeans have placed in them as shown by this resounding victory in GE2015. The past is not an indication of the future but should be used as a guide. The current PAP leadership needs to develop a new social compact with Singaporeans, the strength of a compact can give the current PAP leadership the same strength as the compact the pioneer PAP leaders developed, which gave the PAP leaders 40 years of trust of the people.
    We still have some underlying issues that need to be addressed. Some of these would be policy changes that are still needed, some might be policies that need to be better implemented, while some are related to better communication of polices, so that we speak to the ‘man on the street’ and not in abstract terms.

    I will separately share some of my thoughts on the underlying issues and policies that still need to be addressed if the PAP leadership wants to strengthen the social compact with Singaporeans.

    For now, I urge all Singaporeans to come together and work towards Singapore’s progress for the well-being of all Singaporeans. The elections are over, let’s all stand together as one united people for our country.

    Majulah Singapura!

     

    Source: Inderjit Singh

  • PAP In Crisis As More MPs Resign

    PAP In Crisis As More MPs Resign

    In a press conference today (August 12), the PAP Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC team sees 3 more PAP MPs resigning signaling a succession crisis with the ruling party. MP Hri Kumar, MP Zainudin Nordin and Ex-Minister MP Wong Kan Seng have all announced their resignation today.

    Photo from Facebook

    The slew of resignations from PAP MPs started after the death of former Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew and the current headcount is at 10, with more PAP MPs to announce their resignation before the National Day Rally speech next week.

    1) AMK GRC MP Inderjit Singh
    2) Tampines GRC MP Irene Ng
    3) Tampines GRC MP and Ex-Minister Mah Bow Tan
    4) Moulmein-Kallang GRC MP and current Transport Minister Lui Tuck Yew
    5) Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC MP Hri Kumar
    6) Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC MP Zainudin Nordin
    7) Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC MP and Ex-Minister Wong Kan Seng
    8) Sembawang GRC MP Hawazi Daipi
    9) AMK GRC Seng Han Thong
    10) AMK GRC Yeo Guat Kwang

    Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong is currently having a manpower shortage filling in these resigned positions and especially for the Transport Minister position as no PAP MP volunteered for the job.

     

    Source: http://statestimesreview.com

  • Inderjit Singh Says He Is Still PAP Member

    Inderjit Singh Says He Is Still PAP Member

    Ang Mo Kio GRC MP Inderjit Singh has taken to social media to affirm that he is still a member of the People’s Action Party. He also said he will still be assisting PM Lee Hsien Loong in his election campaign in Ang Mo Kio.

    His latest post on Tuesday came after he announced his retirement from politics at the next election. His announcement about his retirement on Facebook came shortly after the Electoral Boundaries Review Committee released its report on boundary changes.

    Online talk by netizens and news websites was set abuzz with speculation that Mr Inderjit was quitting the party.

    Some websites and commentators reposted his old speeches on the White Paper that was made in Parliament, and a social media post in response to the President’s address.

    Reacting to the online buzz, Mr Inderjit said on his Facebook page: “I read with amusement that some people have taken my old speeches and reposted them with a headline that I have left the PAP. The white paper speech was made in early 2013 and the one on the response to the president address was posted in May 2014.

    “I requested to PM to allow me to step down as an MP on 2nd January 2013 as I have contributed almost 20 years as an MP and wanted to spend time on my work and family.”

    I read with amusement that some people have taken my old speeches and reposted them with a headline that I have left the…

    Posted by Inderjit Singh on Tuesday, July 28, 2015

    On Sunday, Singapore’s Minister for Defence Ng Eng Hen told the media in an interview: “We want to handle the retirement of our MPs more smoothly and I would prefer a more deliberate and a dignified manner,” he said. “You can post your retirement on Facebook, but I think as an MP who has served 15, 20, even 30 years – that’s not the best way to do it.”

    Many online took it to understand that Mr Inderjit was retiring from the party, as there were no other MPs who have announced their retirement.

    When asked to comment, The Straits Times reported that Mr Singh replied: “If there was infighting, would I be helping PM Lee with his campaign?”

    Dr Ng also told The Straits Times separately: “When I read that Inderjit was retiring, two thoughts came into my mind. First, that at 55, he had many more years to contribute, and was big-hearted to retire now, so that younger candidates could stand in his place.

    “I have great respect for Inderjit and learnt from his many good speeches in Parliament. He has a heart for the daily struggles of Singaporeans and could put it across in heartfelt and effective ways. When he spoke, Ministers took note, and followed up. He was a people’s MP.

    “Second, I thought we should do better than just Facebook postings for retiring MPs. After many years of service, the party should try to find a more dignified and deliberate way to announce their retirement. So when we announce new candidates, whenever possible, we will do it together with their retiring MPs, that they are taking over. I hope this approach will do justice to the many years of contribution that MPs like Inderjit have given to serve their residents.”

     

    Source: http://news.asiaone.com

  • Dissent Within PAP Ranks? Ng Eng Hen Mocks Retiring Inderjit Singh

    Dissent Within PAP Ranks? Ng Eng Hen Mocks Retiring Inderjit Singh

    In his interview with the government-controlled media Channel News Asia, Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen mock Ang Mo Kio (AMK) GRC PAP MP Inderjit Singh for announcing his retirement on Facebook instead of using the party’s proper channel:

    “You can post your retirement on Facebook, but I think as an MP who has served 15, 20, even 30 years – that’s not the best way to do it”

    PAP MP Inderjit Singh publicised his retirement on his Facebook page on the very same day the new electoral boundaries were introduced last Friday (July 24). PAP MP Inderjit has served in Ang Mo Kio GRC for the nearly 20 years since 1996. He has recently been exceptionally vocal against Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong and took media highlights two years ago for criticising his ruling party’s decision to increase the Singapore population to 6.9 million.

    Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has no replacement for the sudden resignation of MP Inderjit Singh and is now struggling to find a replacement.

    Source: http://statestimesreview.com