Tag: politics

  • PAP Should Field Strong Team In Aljunied GRC

    PAP Should Field Strong Team In Aljunied GRC

    First of all, I just want to come out and say that the Group Representation Constituency (GRC) is a scheme conjured up by the PAP to retain more seats in the parliament. The other ways of skewing the electorate to their advantage are: redrawing electoral boundaries, and punishing opposition GRCs and SRCs by withholding services.

    I do not support the concept of GRC at all. I strongly believe if the PAP is masculine enough, they will man up, and allow for only man-to-man square off in each constituency. No need to sneak in weaker candidates on the coat tails of stronger ministers… but if this is how the PAP wants to play, let’s play.

    I propose the following team for the PAP in Aljunied. If I were the PAP, I would field the strongest team possible in the Aljunied GRC. Don’t just talk. Do. Put your money where your mouth is. Unless, of course, if the PAP has no confidence.

    Here goes. The 5 PAP candidates should be:
    1) PM LHL
    2) DPM Tharman
    3) DPM TCH
    4) Minister Ng Eng Hen
    5) Minister Kee Chiu Sing.

    If you cannot win with your A team, you have no business running the government, and for that matter, Singapore.

    Let’s bring it, shall we, PAP. Show some guts for once.

    National Slavery

    Source: http://renounce-sg.blogspot.com.au

  • Could SPP Eye Mounbatten SMC In Upcoming General Elections?

    Could SPP Eye Mounbatten SMC In Upcoming General Elections?

    The Singapore People’s Party (SPP) today (Jun 20) held a walkabout in the Mountbatten neighbourhood along Singapore’s east coast.

    SPP member Jeannette Chong-Aruldoss also handed out a flyer in which she stated: “I want to serve you to the best of my ability; your concerns are my concerns. This is why I am walking the ground in Mountbatten SMC, and this is why I visited your home today.”

    Among the issues she said she wanted to hear residents’ thoughts on were housing, education, healthcare, employment and community facilities.

    Ms Chong-Aruldoss, a lawyer by trade, was the former Secretary-General of the National Solidarity Party (NSP). She ran in the 2011 General Election in Mountbatten under the NSP banner, but was defeated by the People’s Action Party candidate Lim Biow Chuan after getting about 41 per cent of the votes. She joined the SPP this year.

    Singapore must hold its next parliamentary General Election by January 2017

     

    Source: www.todayonline.com

  • 90% Of People Polled Say They Will Vote For Opposition

    90% Of People Polled Say They Will Vote For Opposition

    “90% of those polled say they will vote for opposition”.  That’s the kind of sensational headline that will grab the attention of the reader.  That’s what my unrepresentative poll results indicate.  Hopefully, you have, by now, picked yourself up after falling off your chair.

    Poll results

    I had carried out an online poll that attracted 135 persons to vote.  It is a small sample and hardly indicative of the actual voting pattern in the country.  My readers are, quite obviously, largely opposition voters.  So, the 90% vote in favour of the opposition is indicative of the profile of my readers rather than being indicative of how Singaporeans are likely to vote.  From the outset, I had no intention to find out about the level of support for PAP.  My little survey was motivated by a recent research finding released by Blackbox Research that indicated that 80% of Singaporeans felt that PAP would either perform better or the same as the last elections if elections are to be held now.  Blackbox went on to conclude that “the PAP are now in the box seat to improve on their 2011 election result”.

    I was a little skeptical about the conclusion.  My gut instinct is that there is a general perception right now that either PAP will perform better or the same as the last elections and this perception is largely a result of pessimism among individuals that would themselves vote for the opposition anyway.  Poll results that indicate that there is a perception as to how PAP will perform are not at all indicative of how those that were polled would themselves vote.  So, Blackbox Research’s findings are neither here nor there.  My conversations with friends (who are largely opposition voters) after the passing of LKY has provided me with anecdotal evidence that there is a high degree of pessimism in the opposition camp.  Three factors loom large in the assessment of many opposition voters:

    1.   LKY’s death and the propaganda overdose following that

    2.   SG50 celebrations and the feel good factor that is likely to be generated (with taxpayers footing the bill)

    3.   WP’s continuing legal troubles with Town Council management.

    It stands to reason that middle ground voters may veer back to the PAP (as it happened in 1997) or there may be a stalemate and we may not see any change between 2011 and 2015 in terms of the popular vote.

    Given the negative sentiments among opposition voters, it is quite inevitable that Blackbox Research’s findings indicate a low 20% stating that they thought PAP will perform worse than in 2011. My view is that their research should not be interpreted to indicate that there will in fact be a vote swing towards the PAP.  Blackbox didn’t ask the crucial question: “Who would you vote for?”

    If that question had been asked, we might have ended up with a result that indicates 35% to 40% stating that they would vote opposition and nevertheless 80% stating that PAP would perform better or the same.  The other problem with the Blackbox findings is that they don’t indicate the percentage that stated that PAP would perform better and those that stated that it would perform the same.

    My poll was done to show that there exists a deviation among opposition voters.  There are a significant number of opposition voters that would vote for opposition but are nevertheless pessimistic about the general outcome in the current elections.  Among the 135 that voted, 90% would have voted for the opposition but only 66% felt that PAP would do worse.  This strongly attests to the fact that even in my small sample of 122 opposition voters, there must have been a significant percentage that were pessimistic about the opposition’s chances in the coming elections.

    There is a percentage deviation of 23% between the actual votes by opposition voters and the perception of improvement in the opposition performance.  In the course of the two weeks that I kept the poll open, at various stages of voting I saw this voting-perception deviation fluctuate from a low of 15% to a high of 25%.  For the most part, the percentage was hovering between 20% to 25%.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if the findings of Blackbox Research are somewhat tainted by the fact that there exists this voting-perception deviation.  I suspect that it does exist at a national level.  So, whilst my small sample yielded a 23% deviation, at the national level this figure is bound to be different (higher or lower) but without data, it is impossible to arrive at any conclusion.  Blackbox didn’t ask the crucial question as to which party would those polled vote for.  All we have is a finding that indicates that only 20% think that PAP will do worse.  This does not mean that only 20% will vote for the opposition.  It indicates, merely, the existence of a certain degree of pessimism among those that would vote for the opposition.  It is not inconceivable that we might have had 40% of those polled intending to vote for the opposition with a large number of them feeling that PAP will perform the same or better (thereby contributing to the statistics provided by Blackbox).

    Another problem with the Blackbox Research findings is that they have conveniently failed to indicate the percentage of those that think that there will be no difference in the voting and those that think that PAP will do better.  I wouldn’t be surprised if the actual figures were along the following lines (speculating, of course):

    50% –  PAP will perform better

    30% –  PAP will perform the same

    20% –  PAP will perform worse

    We don’t know why Blackbox chose not to give a breakdown of the ‘better’ and ‘same’ categories.

    For Blackbox to make the assertion that PAP is in the box seat to improve on its performance in 2011 is a rather bold step.  Another research firm, BMI Research, whilst being generally positive on the outlook for the PAP, did not venture to assert that the vote share will improve.  “While it is difficult to ascertain whether or not the PAP’s vote share will fall again in the upcoming election, the party’s ability to form a strong majority in the parliament is virtually assured,”  Personally, I think that a general election this year is not going to threaten PAP’s majority in Parliament.  The only thing that we are really speculating about is the increase or decrease in their vote share.

    For those in the opposition camp that feel a little despondent after reading the Blackbox report, they should brush aside polls like these as they serve only to measure voter perception rather than how those voters would in fact vote.  There is bound to be a deviation between the two.  For those in the PAP camp, they would be well advised to avoid being too complacent.  Don’t underestimate the actual anger and dissatisfaction on the ground.

     

    Source: https://article14blog.wordpress.com

  • Ismail Kassim: A Malay Triology – Politics

    Ismail Kassim: A Malay Triology – Politics

    Part III: Why Malays can’t put their act together?

    We are Malays and we must uphold our Malay heritage above all. All my life I have considered myself a Malay and a Muslim; not Sunni, not Syiah.

    I honour our Prophet, PBUH, whom I consider a perfect gentleman; peerless and fearless. I try to imbue myself with the values he espoused and accept much of his teachings on how life should be lived in this world.

    We should not get involved with the Semitic people, their perennial quarrels and their penchant for mutual slaughter.

    Neither side is right; both are equally murderous, and both want power, not to build a progressive and equal society based on fear of God, but to oppress the other side for not belonging to their sect.

    To these people, their strongest affiliation is to their religious sect and to their tribe; the sense of nation hardly exists. They have never learnt to compromise and work together for the larger interest of the nation.

    True, in the early years, Islam liberated their minds and they became a progressive people but over the centuries they have slide backwards; today, they are among the most backward of societies.

    For example, just take a look at the Land of the Pharoahs and you see another Mubarak in the making, made possible by the so-called liberals of their society. The military, which lost all their battles against the Israelis, is only good for oppressing their own people.

    The trouble there is that the Muslim Brotherhood wants to force their Islamic agenda down the throat of the liberals, the latter wants to do the same to the Muslims, while the military wants to usurp power mainly to further their own ends.

    As for the keepers of our holy places, look at them trying to imitate the Israelis, bombing Yemen and killing innocent civilians, to further their dubious self-serving goals.

    If you look around the globe, the Chinese are fast on their way to becoming a respected nation, the Indians too have jumped on the same path and picking up momentum.

    Alas the Arabs are still locked in their ancient enmities and the Malays seem to want to follow them on their path of self-destruction.

    Just compare how the Australians behave towards Singapore and towards Indonesia when their citizens are about to be executed for drug offences. You can tell which country commands more respect from the Aussies and you know the reason why.

    Across the Causeway, we see the spectacle of UMNO and PAS at each other’s throat, almost like a pantomime imitation of the Sunni-Syiah conflict in the Middle-East.

    They forget the lesson of history. With 5000 British troops, the British ruled over 500 million Indians for 500 years.

    A feat made possible only with the help of hundreds of thousands of collaborators because of disunity and jealousy among Indians, who hate each other more than they hate the white men. If the Malays are not careful, history can repeat itself in Tanah Melayu.

    When I stopped reporting on Malaysian politics in Oct 1995, I felt then that the country was sliding down the hill. Two decades later, my opinion remains unchanged; the slide continues inexorably.

    Politics is in a mess. The Malays are divided as they have never been, and the non-Malays disenchanted and demoralised, and race-relations never very good even in the best of times, has taken another tumble downwards.

    Corruption in high places and in the Malay-dominated bureaucracy has become more rampant.

    As for the rakyat, the bigots and the obnoxious among them have made themselves heard at frequent intervals, no doubt instigated by Nationalist elements, religious fanatics and politicians in furtherance of their own narrow and selfish goals.

    Even before it lost Chinese support, UMNO have for years been pampering the Malay electorate on two fronts; closing its eyes to mismanagement of its pro-bumiputra policies and appeasing their insatiable demands for more and more Islam in public and private life.

    The result is increasing greed within sections of the community for the material comforts of this world and at the same time for the divine blessings of the next world.

    I do not see switching from the UMNO-led Front to the opposition Pakatan Rakyat as a viable long-term solution. A narrow win for the Pakatan will only trigger endless rounds of instability a la Thailand.

    Malaysia is not ready yet for a two-party system, not now and not in the next few decades. A split within the dominant Malay community does not benefit any group, not the Malays and not the minorities.

    Likewise, in Singapore, it is foolish of the Malays here to entertain any ideas that they could profit by playing one Chinese side against the other.

    Only a united, dominant community will have the confidence and the ability to offer meaningful concessions to its respective minority.

    In a democratic one man one vote system, UMNO are now in a dilemma. After losing the support of the Chinese and the more progressive elements from the Malay community, it cannot afford to alienate whatever little communal support it has left.

    Without any concession to the Chinese, they won’t come back. If too much, it might lose its conservative Malay base. The result is stalemate.

    The best way out for Malaysia is for the Malays to unite, for PAS and UMNO to get together minus their extremist fringe, and forge a common platform to build up the nation, develop the Malays and other indigenous groups into a respected community and to be fair to their minorities, who are assets to the nation.

    Malay leaders should swallow their pride. Come to Singapore and see how the PAP have done it. Learn how to protect the interests of the dominant community while giving a fair deal to the minorities.

    The selective discrimination against Malays in the security and military services is balanced by other benign policies so that overall things square up for the community.

    It is not an impossible act for Malaysia to follow, but you need a strong leader to pull it off. At the moment, there is none in sight.

     

    Source: Ismail Kassim

  • Ten Challenges PAP Will Face In The Next General Elections

    Ten Challenges PAP Will Face In The Next General Elections

    1. Resurgent Workers’ Party – the resurgence of Workers’ Party continued even after the GE 2011 as they recaptured Hougang SMC in a by-election contest and even took over Punggol East SMC when Speaker of Parliament Mr Michael Palmer was caught in a extra-marital affair.and subsequently sacked triggering a by-election election.

    Two days after the loss of Punggol East the PAP announced the 6.9 million population white paper in a desperate bid to arrest the free-fall popularity slide of the ruling party.

    Workers’ Party remains the number one choice of most Singaporeans when they vote for the opposition and in GE 2011, the average vote for most of their contested wards was at a high 45%.

    The ruling party knew that WP will feature strongly in the next election and has targetted them for negative propaganda by giving them black marks for the way they run the Aljunied town council.

    However, this may backfire on the ruling party as many voters believe that the government is fixing the opposition party and continue to vote for them out of sympathetic anger.

    WP is expected to retain all their seats and win over East Coast GRC and one more single seat in the next election.

    2. Lack of good on-the-ground candidates – the ruling party is having a hard time convincing credible candidates to stand for election.

    During the last election, one could not really spot anyone who is very good on the ground and is seen as credible. Candidates such as the controversial Tin Pei Lin was put up for candidacy and this truly reinforced the belief of many people that the PAP is having difficulty attracting real talents.

    Most candidates have excellent educational qualifications and solid work experience but many lack the ground feel to be connected with the common people. They seem aloof and distanced when they spoke in poorly-attended PAP election rallies.

    Most new MPs who were voted in also contested together with heavyweight ministers in GRC and have little experience on the ground except for the parachuted-in feeling.

    Because of their prestigious academic background and gleaming work experience, many MPs could not really identify with the hardship of the common people.

    Voters in Punggol East also voted in a commoner from WP and a distinguished doctor from the ruling party was given the boot.

    Unless the PAP could get candidates who have work the ground for a long period, it is my fear that more upsets are on the card for the next election.

    3. Maturing of social media platform – the ruling party lost heavily on the social media platform as they underestimated its inpact.

    Political websites like TOC, TRE and TRS all reported alternative news regularly and attracted close to 200,000 readers daily together.

    Many also ditched the pro-government media for good and rely on social media for their regular news feed.

    The goverment has tried to curb its influence by asking the site editors to register with MDA but it will not be easy to totally eradicate its impact especially for those who belong to the younger electorade.

    This lot relies heavily on social media for any mews update and they will be probably following our alternative news coverage for the forthcoming election campaign.

    It is envisaged that more sites such as TRE will be hauled up next year for registration by the government in an attempt to try and curb its influence on alternative news reporting online.

    4. Population white paper – the hugely-unpopular population white paper (PWP) was passed two years ago and Singaporeans face its onslaught soon after when many were displaced at the workplaces and travel on public transport becomes a daily nightmare.

    Wages are also been depressed as incoming foreigners settled for lesser wages in order to gain a foothold here further aggravating the misery of many Singaporeans.

    Many Singoreans also find themselves reporting to foreign managers at the workplaces and are often bullied by certain groups if they happen to be in the minority.

    It is envisaged that the negative impact of the PWP will weigh heavily on the mind of many voters as they contemplate their future with the ruling party.

    More than 80% of Singaporeans are estimated to have gone against the PWP and the government is expected to try and build up positive propaganda for the population growth emigration policy during the election rallies but it will be a tall order.

    5. Another five more years of suffering – Singaporeans must have gone through its worst five years under the ruling party since independence with recent run-away cost of living prices and depressed wages.

    Many displaced older PMETs also have no choice but to take up taxi driving in order to survive further adding on to their misery.

    Under-employment Is a national problem now and many experienced PMETs work on short-term contract which often expires within a year or two.

    Their anger is exaceberated when they see their foreign counterparts taking on permanent roles with better perks.

    None wants to experience another five more years of misery under the ruling party and decides to wager on the alternative as there is nothing to lose anymore.

    6. More outspoken electorade – the past two years saw the resurgence of people’s power and thousands turned up at the PWP and Return-My-CPF protests.

    It is envisaged that many will turn up at opposition election rallies lending unity and credibility to those who will speak up for the voice of the masses.

    Many people have felt that Singaporeans have finally unite themselves together recently because of several unpopular government policies and this common bond may spell disaster for the ruling party which has all along adopt the divide-and-rule method.

    A united common people may eventually topple the current regime.

    7. Better candidates from opposition party – against all odds, the opposition parties finally got its act together and contested all the seats less one Tg Pagar GRC during the last election.

    We also saw better well-qualified candidates offering themselves for election in 2011 and many are expected to return for the next one.

    Top ex-civil servants like Mr Tan Jee Say, Dr Ang Yong Guan, the scholar couple Tony and Hazel Tan all contested previously and are expected to contest once more in the next election.

    Many analysts have commented that if there are better-qualified credible opposition candidates, many voters will not mind voting for them especially for those fence sitters. Some Singaporeans somehow still believe in minted degrees and high-powered work experience.

    8. Overseas voters – voters from abroad voted for the first time in embassies during the last election and many will likely vote again.

    However, less than 15% of overseas Singaporeans vote abroad in GE 2011 and currently about 300,000 Singaporeans work and live abroad so their vote count is significant if everyone seriously consider voting in the next election.

    Opposition parties should consider venturing abroad where there is a large concentration of overseas Singaporeans and encourage them to vote in the next election. Australia alone has 30,000 Singaporeans living and working there.

    A large percentage of overseas Singaporeans is seen as anti-establishment and that’s why they have pack and go.

    Many however find voting abroad inconvenient and the ruling party is not making things easy for them.

    Its still too soon to predict how many will find their way to embassies or return home to vote in the next election but their strength is huge and growing.

    9. Lack of solid reason – there is also this lack of a solid reason to vote for the ruling party wholeheartedly especially when WP and other opposition parties could provide a good alternative.

    In the past, many Singaporeans either could not vote because of a walk-over or the alternative wore sleeper to the polling station but with better choices now, the ruling party candidates has no certainty that they will be voted in. Even the popular George Yeo was ousted from his seat as foreign minister when he lost in Aljunied.

    The previous election also saw the final break-through with the fall of Aljunied GRC and this must have sent a nightmarish chill through the tired back of the ruling party.

    10. Fall of a GRC – PAP finally lost its first ever GRC to WP during the last election and this is considered a major setback to the party.

    There is this fear that other GRCs may give way to the opposition in the next election as the yoke has been broken thus triggering the eventual collapse of the ruling party.

    However, this sudden collapse is unrealistic though it is probable that East Coast GRC may be the next to go for the next election.

    The loss of a first-ever GRC plus the shocking heavy loss of Punggol East by-election last year have shook the confidence of the ruling party immensely and it is still reeling from the two setback.

    By announcing the hugely-unpopular PWP two days after the historic heavy loss of Punggol East SMC, the ruling party is desperately trying to tell the people that it is still calling the shots.

    It is envisaged however that PAP will see its majority votes sliding away for the next election probably down to the mid 50 percent mark and they may lose East Coast GRC too.

    Only the tricky foreign new citizen votes will provide a ray of hope for them.

     

    Source: www.therealsingapore.com